http://www.adlibris.com/no/product.aspx?isbn=081297381X&r=1 | Tittel: The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a New Section: "On Robustness and Fragility" - Forfatter: Nassim Nicholas Taleb - ISBN: 081297381X - Vår pris: 123,-
Black swans exist. I love the "Black Swan" theory that discusses how the psychological biases that make people individually and collectively blind to uncertainty and unaware of the massive role of the rare event in historical affairs. It further explains the disproportionate role of high-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations.
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragilit
'black swan theory' - nassim nicholas taleb [black swan theory is a metaphor that describes an event that is a surprise (to the observer), has a major impact, and after the fact is often inappropriately rationalized with the benefit of hindsight]